Strategic Importance of Greenland - A Defining Moment for NATO

 President James Monroe declared the Western Hemisphere closed to European colonization in the early part of the 19th century. American policymakers continue to invoke a variant of this nearly two century old framework to justify interventions into the affairs of sovereign nations that are against the established and accepted international norms, under the UN charter. Venezuela is a very recent case in point.

Immediately after the Venezuela action of capturing President Maduro and his wife in the early morning hours of Jan 03, through a surgical military operation, the US focus shifted to Greenland, the world’s largest island that is larger in land area than Mexico, an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark. USA has been keen on acquiring this island, since 1867, but has not been successful, though it has operated from multiple bases in Greenland during the second world war, and thereafter. Presently, it operates from one base, Pituffik space base under the 1951 Defense of Greenland agreement with the Kingdom of Denmark. Article II of the agreement specifically grants great flexibility to the US to “establish and/or operate defense areas” as needed as per NATO defense plans.

Map of Greenland
Image: Courtesy BBC on Google Maps

Over the years, Greenland has become increasingly important strategically; global warming and melting of Arctic ice have majorly contributed to the strategic importance of this once ‘left alone’ frigid island. New shipping routes leading to shorter transit times in the northern hemisphere; rare earth minerals critical to the automotive, semi conductor, renewable energy, and defense industries; as also potential for offshore oil and gas exploration, are some of the prominent reasons. Great powers have taken note; China and Russia have been active; China has attempted to invest in Greenland’s infrastructure, fishing, tourism, and mining projects; Russia has re-opened and militarized its cold war era bases and expanded its icebreaker fleet. These facts are red flags for Washington.

Greenland’s importance to global geopolitics cannot be contested, as its geography, resources, and position at the gateway between the Arctic and Atlantic oceans makes it of strategic interest to the US, as also its NATO allies; its position makes it indispensable for early warning missile defense, space surveillance, and control of Arctic sea lanes. Nonetheless, while strategic importance is a key consideration, it does not confer legal entitlement and thus must be balanced with adherence to international norms and treaty obligations.

Recent statements given by President Trump, and his administration are, “we need Greenland for national security purposes”; “all options are on the table”, including the military option. Some statements even imply that the US action could proceed “with or without” Danish approval. Taken together, the language suggests an anxiety with regards to timing; about rivals; and about losing control of a region that Washington perceives as indispensable to its national security. It increasingly reflects a world view of the US Administration that geography, not alliances, defines security, as also that sovereignty is negotiable, if strategic interest is at stake. This is much against international norms, as laid down by the UN charter, as also against the NATO obligations.

Greenland’s government and its people are clear: Greenland is not for sale; its people must determine its own future. Greenlandic leaders also reaffirmed their allegiance to Denmark and NATO, underscoring the fact that unilateral transfer of sovereignty is non-negotiable; some European nations, including Denmark, have openly supported this position.  President Trump, on Jan 17, stated that he would charge a 10% import tax starting in February on goods from eight European nations because of their opposition to American control of Greenland; the rate would climb to 25% on June 01, if no deal was in place for “the complete and total purchase of Greenland” by the US. European capitals were quick to condemn Trump’s coercive tactics; leaders from Denmark, Norway, Sweden, France, UK, Germany, Netherlands and Finland issued joint statements warning that tariff threats and territorial demands risk towards a “dangerous downwards spiral” in transatlantic relations.

While the strategic importance of Greenland cannot be denied, the US security needs in the Arctic can be met through deepened cooperation, with Denmark, Greenland, Canada, and other NATO partners. The way forward to thwart adversaries like China and Russia is to strengthen Western influence by building frameworks for defence, and by responsible resource development in this environmentally fragile region.

Coercive threats, including territorial demands and tariffs, threaten to weaken alliances at a time when unity is of paramount importance. The US must choose cooperation over coercion if it hopes to continue to lead rather than isolate its closest partners, which includes Canada.

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